about every sports bettor understands and bets on pointspreads,
there are still a lot that
don’t fully understand how to bet totals. There is no
simpler bet than the game total. Simply
add the score of the two teams together (including Overtime)
and if it is higher than the posted
total, the Over wins. If it is lower than the posted
number, the Under wins. It doesn’t get easier
than that. However, unlike pointspreads, many new bettors
have difficulty predicting outcomes for
totals, either from lack of experience or just lack
With spreads,3 and 7 are key numbers and, to a lesser
extent, so are 1, 4, 6 and 10 but with totals
I am surprised how few bettors realize there are certain
important totals to be aware of.
there are no major “key” totals to the same degree as
3 or 7 but it may surprise you to know that a
total of 41 has already landed in 8 of the 102 NFL games
played so far this year. That is 7.8% and
makes it more likely to fall than a spread of 4, 6 or
A simple rule for betting totals though is to bet the
Over early in the week and the Under late.
This won’t always work but if you track this rule over
any length of time, you should see it
holds up as a general trend. One is the Overtime rule
in college football. There is no limit to
the number of points that can be scored with the NCAA’s
“shoot-out” overtime rules. Teams can
play to a 7-7 tie through the first four quarters and
then put up 3 Touchdowns each in Overtime
to make the Over a winner. If the game is close in college,
your Over bet always has a chance.
Another factor is that with the Over, you can know your
bet will be a winner early in the game
(for example, you have Over 45 and the score is 28-27
at the Half).
When you are shopping Value for Totals look for these
2 key numbers.
For the last 10 years, both 37 and 41 have landed over
4% of the time in the NFL, making them the
Always be sure to check the weather for any total you
bet. Bookmakers take weather into account and so should
you. Rain and snow aren’t as big of factors as many
people make them out to be as defenders are just as
likely to slip as offensive players and one or two big
plays can drive a total way up. Wind on the other hand
is underrated (in my opinion) and forces teams to run
more. This can eat up the clock and help lower total
scores. Spend some time looking through the totals of
all the NFL games and you will surely find some betting
Find out right
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