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Online Sports Betting Totals & Point Spread Tips

Just about every sports bettor understands and bets on pointspreads, there are still a lot that don’t fully understand how to bet totals. There is no simpler bet than the game total. Simply add the score of the two teams together (including Overtime) and if it is higher than the posted total, the Over wins. If it is lower than the posted number, the Under wins. It doesn’t get easier than that. However, unlike pointspreads, many new bettors have difficulty predicting outcomes for totals, either from lack of experience or just lack of knowledge.

With spreads,3 and 7 are key numbers and, to a lesser extent, so are 1, 4, 6 and 10 but with totals I am surprised how few bettors realize there are certain important totals to be aware of. there are no major “key” totals to the same degree as 3 or 7 but it may surprise you to know that a total of 41 has already landed in 8 of the 102 NFL games played so far this year. That is 7.8% and makes it more likely to fall than a spread of 4, 6 or 10!

A simple rule for betting totals though is to bet the Over early in the week and the Under late. This won’t always work but if you track this rule over any length of time, you should see it holds up as a general trend. One is the Overtime rule in college football. There is no limit to the number of points that can be scored with the NCAA’s “shoot-out” overtime rules. Teams can play to a 7-7 tie through the first four quarters and then put up 3 Touchdowns each in Overtime to make the Over a winner. If the game is close in college, your Over bet always has a chance. Another factor is that with the Over, you can know your bet will be a winner early in the game (for example, you have Over 45 and the score is 28-27 at the Half).

When you are shopping Value for Totals look for these 2 key numbers.
For the last 10 years, both 37 and 41 have landed over 4% of the time in the NFL, making them the most likely.

Always be sure to check the weather for any total you bet. Bookmakers take weather into account and so should you. Rain and snow aren’t as big of factors as many people make them out to be as defenders are just as likely to slip as offensive players and one or two big plays can drive a total way up. Wind on the other hand is underrated (in my opinion) and forces teams to run more. This can eat up the clock and help lower total scores. Spend some time looking through the totals of all the NFL games and you will surely find some betting opportunities.


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